Stats - Binomial Distribution

2021-02-04
5 min read

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Flashcards

What $ \left(\begin{matrix} n \ r \end{matrix}\right) $ could you write for the number of ways you can pick $3$ students from a class of $28$??

$$ \left(\begin{matrix} 28 \\ 3 \end{matrix}\right) $$

What $ \left(\begin{matrix} n \ r \end{matrix}\right) $ could you write for the number of ways you could pick $2$ left-handed people from a total of $3$ people?

$$ \left(\begin{matrix} 3 \\ 2 \end{matrix}\right) $$

What $ \left(\begin{matrix} n \ r \end{matrix}\right) $ could you write for the number of ways you could pick $1$ defective screw out of $20$ defective screws??

$$ \left(\begin{matrix} 20 \\ 1 \end{matrix}\right) $$

In a group of three people, two are left-handed and one is not. The probability of being left-handed is $0.1$, so the probability of being right-handed is $0.9$. What is the probability for each permutation??

$$ 0.1 \times 0.1 \times 0.9 $$

In a group of three people, two are left-handed and one is not. The probability of being left-handed is $0.1$, so the probability of being right-handed is $0.9$. What $ \left(\begin{matrix} n \ r \end{matrix}\right) $ could you write for the number of outcomes??

$$ \left(\begin{matrix} 3 \\ 2 \end{matrix}\right) $$

In a group of three people, two are left-handed and one is not. The probability of being left-handed is $0.1$, so the probability of being right-handed is $0.9$. There are $ \left(\begin{matrix} 3 \ 2 \end{matrix}\right) $ possible outcomes and the probability of each one is $0.1 \times 0.1 \times 0.9$. How could you write for the overall probability??

$$ \left(\begin{matrix} 3 \\ 2 \end{matrix}\right) \times 0.1 \times 0.1 \times 0.9 $$

$$X ~ B(n, p)$$ What does this mean??

$X$ has a binomial distribution with $n$ trials and probability of success $p$.

What are the 4 criteria for $X$ being modelled with a binomial distribution??
  1. There are a fixed number of trials
  2. There are two possible outcomes
  3. There is a fixed probability of success
  4. The trials are independent of each other
What is the formula for $P(X = r)$ if $X ~ B(n, p)$??

$$ \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r} $$

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ What does $r$ represent??

The number of successes.

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ What does $n$ represent??

The number of trials.

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ What does $p$ represent??

The probability of success.

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ If $p^r$ is the probability of $r$ successes and $(1-p)^{n-r}$ is the probability of the number of failures, can you explain $p^r(1 - p)^{n - r}??

It’s the probability that each outcome is true.

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ If $p^r$ is the probability of $r$ successes, can you explain $n - r$??

If there are $r$ successes out of $n$, then $n - r$ must be the number of failures.

$$P(X = r) = \left( \begin{matrix}n \\ r\end{matrix} \right) p^r(1-p)^{n-r}$$ If $p$ is the probability of success, can you explain $(1 - p)$?

In a binomial distribution there are only two outcomes, so $(1 - p)$ is the probability of failure.

Why can’t use you use the binomial distribution to model an experiment where you have red counters and green counters in a bag and you wish to find the probability that removing $5$ counters would contain $3$ greens??

Because the trials aren’t independent of each other.

$$P(X = 0)$$ What is this equal to if $X ~ B(n, p)$??

$$ (1 - p)^n $$

$$P(X = 0)$$ If $X ~ B(n, p)$, what does this mean in simple terms??

The probability of no successes.

$$P(X = n)$$ What is this equal to if $X ~ B(n, p)$??

$$ p^n $$

$$P(X = n)$$ If $X ~ B(n, p)$, what does this mean in simple terms??

The probability of no failures.

On a Classwiz calculator, how can you work out $P(X = r)$ if $X ~ B(n, p)$??
  • Distribution
  • Binomial PD
  • Variable
  • Enter values for $x$, $n$ and $p$.
On a Classwiz calculator, how can you work out $P(X \le r)$ if $X ~ B(n, p)$??
  • Distribution
  • Down, Binomial CD
  • Variable
  • Enter values for $x$, $n$ and $p$.

2021-02-09

$$P(X \le 1)$$ What’s the long-winded way of working this out??

$$ P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) $$

$$P(X \le 6)$$ What’s the long-winded way of working this out??

$$ P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + … $$

$$P(X > 5)$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ 1 - P(X \le 5) $$

$$P(X \ge 7)$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ 1 - P(X \le 6) $$

$$P(X < 10)$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ P(X \le 9) $$

$$P(X > 16)$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ 1 - P(X \le 16) $$

$$P(6 < X \le 10)$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ P(X \le 10) - P(X \le 6) $$

$$P(\text{“at most 8”})$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ P(X \le 8) $$

$$P(\text{“no more than 3”})$$ How could you rewrite this so it can be used with a binomial cumulative distribution??

$$ P(X \le 3) $$


Metadata
date: 2021-02-04 09:54
tags:
- '@?stats'
- '@?probability'
- '@?distributions'
- '@?year-1'
- '@?school'
- '@?public'
title: Stats - Binomial Distribution